Often projects are led by planners and managers without deep domain experience who keep changing throughout the long project cycles that apply to megaprojects, leaving leadership weak. Demand forecasts that are wrong by 20 per cent to 70 per cent compared with actual developments are common. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. Learn how to pronounce flyvbjerg and more about the flyvbjerg word at. He works for better management of megaprojects and. Bent flyvbjerg, university of oxford, said business school, faculty member. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. Bent flyvbjerg world bank policy research working paper 3781, december 2005 the policy research working paper series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. Bent flyvbjerg, nils bruzelius, werner rothengatter. Buhl d espite the enormous sums of money being spent on transportation infrastructure, surprisingly little systematic knowledge exists about the costs, bene.
Making social science matter presents an exciting new approach to social science, including theoretical argument, methodological guidelines, and examples of practical application. The case of transportation bent flyvbjerg, mette k. I founded and cofounded several businesses and sold with a profit. Flyvbjerg, bent 2018 planning fallacy or hiding hand. Bruzelius, nils, bent flyvbjerg, and werner rothengatter. It is a new addition to the venerable tradition set down by peter winch, hubert dreyfus, harold garfinkel, and many others, who claim that the canons. Why do projects fail and more to the point what can we do about it. If the new millennium marks a recurrence of the real, flyvbjergs rationality and power epitomizes this development, setting new standards for social and political inquiry. The oxford handbook of megaproject management provides stateoftheart scholarship in the emerging field of megaproject management. Opinion the iron law, or what every politician should know about megaprojects cost overruns, delays and broken promises almost certain, says researcher.
Bent flyvbjerg ten characteristics of megaprojects. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multibi. All content in this area was uploaded by bent flyvbjerg. Follow bent flyvbjerg and explore their bibliography from s bent flyvbjerg author page.
At the same time that case studies are widely used and have produced canonical texts, it may be observed that the case study as a methodology is generally held in low regard, or is simply ignored, within the academy. The ones marked may be different from the article in the profile. Cost overruns of 50 per cent to 100 per cent in real terms are common in megaprojects. This cited by count includes citations to the following articles in scholar. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multibilliondollar. Megaprojects are large, complex projects that typically cost billions of dollars and impact millions of people, like building a highspeed rail line, a megadam, a national health or pensions it system, a new widebody aircraft, or staging the olympics. Big dig overrun is just plain big perspective on project given by world study by raphael lewis, globe staff, 07142002 the series part one bechtels mistakes drive up cost overruns, and company profits. Bent flyvbjerg msc in major programme management blog. All content in this area was uploaded by bent flyvbjerg on mar 10, 2014. Bt professor and chair of major programme management, said business school. Post jobs, find pros, and collaborate commission free in our professional marketplace. Pdf bent flyvbjerg came in with a bang with the english language.
The paper explores these critiques, assesses their effects on flyvbjergs argument, and discusses how a modified version of flyvbjergs phronetic research methodology might be. Bent flyvbjerg argues that the strength of social science is in its rich, reflexive analysis of values and power. He is the most cited scholar in the world in megaproject planning and management. Studies by academics, professional bodies, consulting firms and even. Thus, the practical wisdom which flyvbjerg sees as being at the heart of the research process is itself theoretically suspect. He was previously professor of planning at aalborg university, denmark and chair of infrastructure policy and planning at delft university of technology, the netherlands. You will find stamps with numerous different illustrations, designs, topics, colors and size. Studies social sciences, management, and project management. Managing mega projects content mega projects definition mega projects challenges driving and executing mega projects to success. Pdf if we want to empower and reenchant social scientific research, we need. The case for disciplined, fast and frugal decisionmaking by stephen jenner introduction its almost an article of faith that somewhere between 50% and 70% of projects and programs fail. All structured data from the file and property namespaces is available under the creative commons cc0 license. Jlj flyvbjerg embarks on a project to understand a citys attempt to architect and replan its center the aalborg project and ends up with a social science case study in politics, power, and rationality. New scientist megaprojects and risk provides a fascinating look at the pervasiveness of misinformation in the planning of major construction projects and the systematic bias of such.
An overview by bent flyvbjerg professor and founding chair of major programme management said business school oxford university draft 9. Citations many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, citec, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. Making social science matter by bent flyvbjerg ssrn. Mega project definition a mega project is an extremely largescale investment project. The topic of power has long been of interest to anthropologists and other social scientists not only for how it is produced, distributed and challenged, but also for its symbolic and cultural significance in. Pdf flyvbjerg bent making social science matter global. Cambridge core social theory making social science matter by bent flyvbjerg. The extent and magnitude of actual environmental impacts of projects are often very different from. And bent flyvbjerg s damning analysis concentrates on a series of financial nightmares that should bring even the most casual reader out in a sweat. Various cost estimates are made at different stages of the process. It is a fine addition to sociological theory, and deserves a careful reading. First, it answers the question of how large megaprojects are by measuring them in the units mega, giga, and tera, concluding we are presently entering a. Interview with alumna ann mccall, mmpm 201517 how the oxford msc in major programme management helps pms navigate career challenges and progress their careers to the nextlevel in todays fastpaced climate, major programmes are under more pressure to deliver on time and on budget than ever before.
Files are available under licenses specified on their description page. Bent flyvbjerg, 2014, what you should know about megaprojects and why. Using the url or doi link below will ensure access to this page indefinitely. If we want to empower and reenchant social scientific research, we need to do three things. Rafaela alfallaluque, ivana burcar dunovic, aldo gebbia, ana i. Building on the prospect theory and selfjustification theory, we examine decision making in megaprojects. Policy and planning for largeinfrastructure projects. Why has social science failed in attempts to emulate natural science and produce normal theory. University of oxford, first bt professor and inaugural chair of major programme management. The study incorporates conceptual contributions such as moral hazard, illusion of control and sunkcost effect literature. This page was last edited on 21 october 2018, at 00. Pdf download for policy and planning for largeinfrastructure projects. Making social science matter was written in danish and translated into english, very beautifully, by steven sampson.
Megaprojects and risk provides the first detailed examination of the phenomenon of megaprojects. Bent flyvbjerg is professor and chair of major programme management at oxford university. Social security administration public data, the first name flyvbjerg was not present. Professor flyvbjergs research focuses on the better management of megaprojects, including the olympic games, and cities. Cost estimates at each successive stage typically progress toward a smaller. Bent flyvbjerg is the first bt professor and inaugural chair of major programme management at oxford. How inaccurate are demand forecasts in public works. Megaprojects are inherently risky due to long planning horizons and complex interfaces. Author links open overlay panel nils bruzelius a bent flyvbjerg b werner rothengatter c.
These are citations from works listed in repec that could be analyzed mechanically. It is possible the name you are searching has less than five occurrences per year. Aristotle physics envy and prekantian shamans when the may 1996 issue of the journal social text appeared, an issue devoted to the understanding of science wars, the editors became. This paper takes stock of megaproject management, an emerging and hugely costly field of study. Highlights this exploratory study identifies characteristics of global megaprojects and factors leading to disappointing outcomes. Flyvbjerg then elaborates on how this problem can be dealt with so that more fruitful deliberation and action can occur. Im especially passionate about building scalable saas solutions that solve real wants and needs of the enduser. First, we must drop all pretence, however indirect, at emulating the success of the natural sciences in producing cumulative and predictive theory, for their approach simply does not work in any of the social sciences. The oxford handbook of megaproject management hardcover. Risk in the front end of megaprojects the rfe working group report editor. Article information, pdf download for bringing power to planning research. General, theoretical knowledge is more valuable than concrete case knowledge correction no. While flyvbjergs team did not include the big dig in its study, because its not finished, the danish researcher said the project has.
1426 238 1513 1453 321 1397 1596 767 430 1342 931 543 127 972 1393 594 833 340 1467 98 800 61 825 18 315 1468 1212 1166 2 839 364 201 698 854 1380 566 992 1416 58 746 769 1132 389 1448 868 1342